Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.060173 0.070034 0.080840 0.093539 0.108031 0.124029 0.143004
2025-02-09 0.042566 0.054861 0.069592 0.088453 0.111865 0.139865 0.175775
2025-02-16 0.032280 0.045573 0.062808 0.086589 0.118314 0.158913 0.214487
2025-02-23 0.024760 0.038000 0.056441 0.083651 0.122339 0.174857 0.250901
2025-03-02 0.019580 0.032445 0.051573 0.081547 0.126649 0.191131 0.289176
2025-03-09 0.016386 0.029102 0.049152 0.082298 0.134719 0.213121 0.337464
2025-03-16 0.013248 0.025172 0.045068 0.079685 0.137072 0.226611 0.374294
2025-03-23 0.011883 0.023944 0.045074 0.083486 0.149756 0.256896 0.439498
2025-03-30 0.010271 0.021936 0.043381 0.084070 0.157040 0.279121 0.493813
2025-04-06 0.008613 0.019501 0.040502 0.082068 0.159494 0.293419 0.536191
2025-04-13 0.007317 0.017525 0.038135 0.080598 0.162567 0.308834 0.581554
2025-04-20 0.006796 0.017078 0.038664 0.084667 0.176168 0.343736 0.663561
2025-04-27 0.006268 0.016543 0.038988 0.088484 0.189936 0.380603 0.753069
2025-05-04 0.005257 0.014683 0.036226 0.085613 0.190330 0.392933 0.799106
2025-05-11 0.004556 0.013420 0.034559 0.084805 0.194732 0.413169 0.861594
2025-05-18 0.003861 0.012016 0.032332 0.082423 0.195539 0.426419 0.911760
2025-05-25 0.003306 0.010857 0.030477 0.080600 0.197265 0.441548 0.966737
2025-06-01 0.002967 0.010227 0.029819 0.081474 0.204974 0.469451 1.049375
2025-06-08 0.002521 0.009171 0.027882 0.078950 0.204671 0.480556 1.098523
2025-06-15 0.002389 0.009059 0.028441 0.082753 0.219463 0.525045 1.220601
2025-06-22 0.002149 0.008541 0.027793 0.083350 0.226676 0.553626 1.311065
2025-06-29 0.001855 0.007761 0.026260 0.081373 0.227378 0.567803 1.371497
2025-07-06 0.001616 0.007110 0.024989 0.079918 0.229196 0.584600 1.438892